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Brunel 2018

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BASF en BAYER kopen
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quote:

geen pechvogel schreef op 18 december 2018 14:31:

Kam ik het even iemand mailen
Graag hier plaatsen. Bij voorbaat dank.
geen pechvogel
3

BRUNEL: Feedback ING Benelux conference New York
Event: ING Benelux conference New York; CEO Jilko Andringa
Outcome: Positive
Conclusion: Like at 3Q18 the trend in Brunel’s business remains strong with no signs of a slowdown in Automotive Germany and also NL remains robust. Oil&Gas is seeing strong trends and pipeline seems strong for 2019 and beyond as Exxon is expecting to scale up strongly. For this year we expect the outlook to be save and for 2019 the underlying expectations also still stand firm as long as we do not see a deep recession. However, even then Brunel will outperform the rest of the sector due to its different mix and especially due to Energy which has a different cycle.
Highlights:
· The Netherlands: still see good demand, do see that candidates are getting scarce but also see pricing improve and passing on wage inflation is easier now. Next year (2019) should see some operational leverage from costs that will not return. Overall still a healthy market.
· Germany: Brunel sees no signs of a slowdown still and actually demand from clients still strong; continuous to see new records in sales. Automotive (40% of German sales) still strong as they are 90% exposed to electric car development (R&D) which is an area where OEMs cannot afford to slowdown. Outside Automotive also no signs of weakness explained by the fact that engineers in Germany are scarce and pointed to previous dips/downturns where demand also held up pretty good (different trends versus general staffers). EBIT margins of c.12% for Germany (not DACH) are realistic.
· Global businesses / Energy: of the total Brunel group c.30-35% is Oil & Gas upstream and c.7% is mining. In O&G upstream some areas are growing c.30-40% with Americas, Russia being strong. Cost price for the oil majors is around $35-38 which is far lower than before the downturn as rates on CoS have come down significantly. As such it is still very attractive to invest for oil majors and Exxon (which they recently visited) sees an investment levels they have not seen in the last 30 years and they asked for commitment from Brunel for all projects (41 in total). Investments are needed as the Energy is higher than current supply. Australia is still muted but there are some large projects on the horizon that might start late 2019 or 2020 and these can be as sizeable as the previous large projects.
· Outlook 2018: we expect that Brunel might come in at around and EBIT of €33-34m as the result is largely already determined by the end of November as for Brunel December is not a big month or even a slight loss normally.
· Outlook 2019: if trends continue as they are or perhaps slightly weaken in the more cyclical areas then we believe Brunel could still reach an EBIT of €45-48m for 2019F which is significant improvement vs 2018.
Price: €10.45.Last published target price €19.40 and recommendation BUY
Marc Zwartsenburg, Amsterdam +31 20 563 8721
sappas
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Geen Pechvogel bedankt voor het plaatsen van het artikel.
Is dit artikel van afgelopen week.

Groetjes en fijne avond,

Sappas
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Oké top geen pechvogel. Maar vanwaar deze koerssprong dan vandaag. Kan niet komen toch door jullie mail contact?
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MR. Brunel schreef op 18 december 2018 19:03:

Oké top geen pechvogel. Maar vanwaar deze koerssprong dan vandaag. Kan niet komen toch door jullie mail contact?
Inderdaad, als dat artikel van vorige week is, waarom dan pas vandaag die stijging en niet gisteren?
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Hopelijk komen we daar in deze dagen achter. Maar ik vond het moment van draaien wel apart vandaag en heel overtuigend. Ben er blij mee en het zou fijn zijn als het echt betekenis heeft.
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geen pechvogel schreef op 18 december 2018 20:43:

11.52 volgende hobbel.
Tsjonge GP dat is de goden verzoeken; wees toch voorzichtig. Met 11.51 ben ik morgen al tevreden!
ovanspaend
1
Brunel is een overname kandidaat m.i.
Huidige koers weerspiegelt de waarde v/h bedrijf niet.
Adecco zie ik als mogelijke koper.
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ovanspaend schreef op 18 december 2018 21:50:

Brunel is een overname kandidaat m.i.
Huidige koers weerspiegelt de waarde v/h bedrijf niet.
Adecco zie ik als mogelijke koper.
Joh, hoe verzin je het! Knap hoor.
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