Weer een week en een kwart salamiplakje verder, how low can you go?
Depends on the markets, but
Faith in Crucell has been destroyed again by selfish acts of the management team. This downtrend has not been a "gee, there is no takeover" sell-off. It has been long lasting and determined. If some other major shareholders are getting ready to bail MORE, they are selling all the shares they can at 14.50(the new 15.80) before they take it down the next level.
Crucell has become almost totally opaque where it counts, and everybody is tired of it, and is putting their money in companies where at least they know what there getting.
Biggest deal ever 2009, J+J...Crucell diluted 20+%, in a deal for future funding and partnership in a program they were not going to have to spend any of their own money for 2 years. NIH was picking up the tab for FluMabs studies. The rest of it? Hell, your guess is as good as mine...Milestones, percentages, and royalties are as vague as ever.
Biggest deal 2008-Wyeth....absolutely nothing, doesn't show up anywhere in any of the financials that Wyeth has paid Crucell a dime.
Biggest deal ever 2007...Medimmune-and anti-bacterial antibodies...after 2 years...nothing on any front. No POC, and no milestones, not PR's no promising results
Biggest deal ever 2003...Sanofi...Flucell, shoved in a drawer and allowed to die a slow death. Despite this press release in 2005
"Crucell's Cell-Culture Technology to Be Part of Major U.S. Government Influenza Pandemic Vaccine Program
Leiden, The Netherlands, April 1, 2005 -Dutch biotechnology company Crucell N.V. (Euronext, NASDAQ: CRXL) announced today that its partner sanofi pasteur, the vaccines business of the sanofi-aventis Group, has been awarded a $97 million contract by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). The objective of the contract is to accelerate the licensure in the U.S. of a PER.C6® based cell-culture influenza vaccine and vaccine manufacturing facility. Crucell will be a subcontractor for the program. Terms of the subcontracting agreement between Crucell and sanofi pasteur were not disclosed."
Last line in the above PR is classic Crucell. But in this case the subcontracting agreement is going to add up to 0.00 euros.
Other biggest deals...from 2005...contract with NIH for Ebola
"Crucell and NIH sign € 21.4 million Ebola Vaccine Manufacturing Contract
Leiden, The Netherlands, April 14, 2005 - Dutch biotechnology company Crucell N.V. (Euronext, Nasdaq: CRXL) announced today that it has signed a manufacturing contract with the Vaccine Research Center (VRC), part of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), for the manufacture of vaccines against Ebola infections."
Still in phase I after 7 years(originally NIH signed on in 2002)
Add in the list of other Crucell pie-in-the-sky, next big thing initiatives that they touted...SARS, West Nile, Flavimun, Biosimiliars, Factor V l/c and you understand why Crucell is where they are today.
Finally add in the latest WHO contract debacle...and you pumpers who claim that it was what was expected...that market share was to drop to 33% of world demand..need to wake up. Crucell claims they are the reliable supplier, and that is the most important thing. But then why did the WHO give 66% of the contracts to unproven contractors? Why couldn't you even maintain 50% share of the non-Indian Pakistan market for pentavalent vaccines?
Expecting it to have a 13 euro handle some time next week, and it could go down to 13 even as it touches the highs of 2008 pre market meltdown.
Finally...Do not give management any more shares to squander,make them earn their money by building the business...not buying somebody else's