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Triad Guaranty Inc. (TGIC)

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En is toch dichtbij geweest.....was het niet in de 1.90 ...?
Grrrrrr

Zo nu echt maar oogjes dicht
Demenkovets
0
quote:

roos1971 schreef op 24 februari 2011 00:38:


Wie is er nu trouw haha

Nou ik ken er geen hoor haha


maar net vanuit welk standpunt u bekijkt ;-)

die uitstap was toen wel logisch, was duidelijk dat de koers weer flink zou dalen, en uiteraard wel met de intentie om vlak daarna een stuk lager weer terug te kopen :-)
rond de 1,90 is ie wel even geweest destijds ja, de 2 toen net niet gehaald.

zit op yahoo finance iemand die berekeningen maakt dat de koers begin 2014 op de 14,5 dollar zou moeten kunnen staan, ik hou ze dus nog maar even vast :-))
Tjohn
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Using the Claim model I did compute four senario's from pestimistic to optimistic.

Petimistic I

1-Net settled claims down only 12% , not keeping up with the downturn in default rate of 24%

Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 -$4,93

Normal II

2-Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn of the default rate of 24%
Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 $8,25

Optimistic III

4-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down only 12%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $7,13

Optimistic IV

4-3-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn in the default rate –24%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $16.57

In case we assign a even likelihood to all scenarios the expected stock value is $6,75. That is 20 times the current value

Yo can download the model from:

www.visionfactory.nl/VisionFactory/GQ...
Tjohn
0
Using the Claim model I did compute four senario's from pestimistic to optimistic.

Petimistic I

1-Net settled claims down only 12% , not keeping up with the downturn in default rate of 24%

Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 -$4,93

Normal II

2-Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn of the default rate of 24%
Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 $8,25

Optimistic III

4-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down only 12%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $7,13

Optimistic IV

4-3-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn in the default rate –24%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $16.57

Yo can download the model from:

www.visionfactory.nl/VisionFactory/GQ...
veer62
0
hoi dem,veer heb een vraag.hoe komt het dat de koers met heel weinig stukjes naar de 0,3601 gaat? en vlak voor sluiterstijd weer naar de 0,42 schiet met veel meer stukjes de laatste week.is dat het spel?of zit er wat aan te komen?groetjes veer
veer62
0
quote:

Tjohn schreef op 5 april 2011 16:21:


Read this lates SEC filling 450 milj tax reserves

phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=...


tjohn is dit nu positief? groetjes veer
Tjohn
0
Current foreclosure rate consistent with a stock value of $8 in 2013

The current foreclosure ratio is indicating a reduction of 25% in the claims. This is consistend with model II of the four senario's indicating a stock value of $8 in 2013 You can donload the model from:

www.visionfactory.nl/VisionFactory/GQ...
Using the Claim model I did compute four senario's from pestimistic to optimistic.

Petimistic I

1-Net settled claims down only 12% , not keeping up with the downturn in default rate of 24%

Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 -$4,93

Normal II

2-Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn of the default rate of 24%
Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 $8,25

Optimistic III

4-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down only 12%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $7,13

Optimistic IV

4-3-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn in the default rate –24%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $16.57
veer62
0
quote:

Tjohn schreef op 14 april 2011 13:03:


Current foreclosure rate consistent with a stock value of $8 in 2013

The current foreclosure ratio is indicating a reduction of 25% in the claims. This is consistend with model II of the four senario's indicating a stock value of $8 in 2013 You can donload the model from:

www.visionfactory.nl/VisionFactory/GQ...
Using the Claim model I did compute four senario's from pestimistic to optimistic.

Petimistic I

1-Net settled claims down only 12% , not keeping up with the downturn in default rate of 24%

Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 -$4,93

Normal II

2-Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn of the default rate of 24%


Result is a stock value at the end of 2013 $8,25

Optimistic III

4-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down only 12%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $7,13

Optimistic IV

4-3-a Compensation for the complaint against American Home Mortgage $111 million in damages and Net settled claims down proportional with the down turn in the default rate –24%

Result = a stock value at the end of 2013 $16.57



als ie de 8$ aantikt koopt veer een hele mooie auto,nou al zin aan:)
veer62
0
quote:

welshterrier schreef op 14 april 2011 17:28:


ik ben bang dat Veer nog heel lang moet wachten..............


hoi wels,volgens die man hier boven niet.
het is zo 2013 toch:)
welshterrier
0
quote:

veer62 schreef op 14 april 2011 17:42:


[...]

hoi wels,volgens die man hier boven niet.
het is zo 2013 toch:)

ja je hebt gelijk, wat is nu 2 jaar...........succes
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