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Silver Investing Forecast:
The Greatest Silver Buying
Opportunity In History
With the market still on a relentless tear, you've probably heard lots of talk that a pullback is on the way.
It very well could be...
But if you invest like us, then you don't care whether the market slides a little, or even a lot. In fact, you welcome it because that's when the biggest steals are found.
That's why we love silver right now.
While gold has fallen around 25% from its all-time high, silver prices are 55% below their 2011 peak.
Some pundits will tell you the commodities bull-run is over, but we believe those analysts have grossly misinterpreted recent events.
And they have missed some extremely strong fundamentals regarding silver which makes the metal a fantastic investment today.
In fact, not only is this a good time to get your hands on silver... Recent events have made this the best time in history to buy silver.
So here's why you should take advantage of your last chance to buy it under $40/ounce.
It Could Hit $60...
All bull markets go through periods of consolidations and corrections. Silver is no exception.
In fact, because the global silver market is relatively small, silver prices tend to be more volatile.
The thrashing we witnessed in silver this past year is a testament to that fact. But volatility works both ways, so when silver rises, its price can virtually explode higher.
That's exactly what happened in April 2011, when silver prices rose by 170% in the space of just 7 months. No wonder we call investing in silver like "gold on steroids."
The thing you need to know is, it's looking like the silver market is on the cusp of doing the same thing all over again. According to our research, the next stop could be $40 by year's end, and $60 in 2014.
These five catalysts will launch the next silver rally.
Silver Catalyst No. 1:Relentless Buying of Physical Silver
Despite the drubbing that silver has taken the last six months, there's one aspect of the market that most observers are simply ignoring: The physical silver market.
While gold and silver prices took a pounding, people were not running to unload their silver-quite the opposite. In fact, savvy investors were flocking to buy physical silver.
Even as silver prices dropped, buyers stepped up, and supply became so scarce, premiums nearly tripled to 18% above spot prices. Essentially, virtually no one was selling, yet a lot of buyers recognized that silver was "on sale" and decided to stock up.
In the first six months of 2013, the U.S. Mint sold more than 24 million ounces of silver coins.
That's the first time ever the Mint has sold this many coins so early in the year, setting a record in the 27-year history of the series.
Coin dealers across the U.S. have been regularly selling out of their inventories, desperate to get new allocations.
Silver also has a wide array of industrial uses.
Industries from electronics to medicine are taking advantage of silver's unique physical features such as its combination of strength and flexibility, natural anti-bacterial properties, and being a highly efficient electrical and thermal conductor.
Rising industrial demand for silver is expected to be fueled in part by growth in the automotive sector and a recovery in the housing and construction industries. In addition, silver is used in electronic gadgets found in many vehicles today, as well as in lighting, batteries and even solar energy systems.
Another factor driving industrial use of silver higher is the demand for ethylene oxide. This chemical intermediary is produced by direct oxidation of ethylene in the presence of a silver oxide catalyst. It is critical in the production of many products, including detergents, plastics, solvents, thickeners and a number of organic chemicals.
But the biggest boon to silver's industrial use will come from emerging markets.
As living standards improve in those economies, electronics, construction equipment, water purification and sewage treatment systems, which all require silver, will become increasingly needed, affordable, and sought after.
With investors buying 56 times more physical silver than physical gold, Main Street is setting the pace, while Wall Street is either oblivious to the trend or deceitfully trying to keep prices down.
Silver Catalyst No. 2: Silver ETFs Bulking Up
As smart retail investors have been soaking up physical silver, so have the silver exchange traded funds (ETFs).
In the first quarter of 2013, over 140 tons of gold was sold by physically backed gold ETFs. But remarkably, silver ETFs bucked that trend.
In that same slice of time, the world's silver ETFs actually added 20 million ounces to their vaults. That's nearly $600 million worth of silver being bought within just 3 months, all while silver prices were steadily declining.
Silver ETF shareholders are a combination of both retail and institutional investors. But 20 million ounces flowing in is a clear sign of recognizing value and steady hands.
This kind of action is especially revealing. It signals that once an ounce of physical silver is bought, its owners have "sticky" hands, and they are very reluctant to sell.
Silver Catalyst No. 3:Highly Bearish Speculator Sentiment
Investor sentiment is often a great indicator - a great contrarian indicator, that is.
That's because the herd usually does the right thing at exactly the wrong time. It's what we call the Dumb Money.
Silver contracts are traded on futures exchanges. And one of the most useful gauges of investor sentiment is something called the Commitment of Traders Report (COT), produced weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
When the speculators' (dumb money) net short silver positions reach a major high, it's nearly always a perfect contrarian signal. That's typically when the silver price is either at or very near a major low.
It's exactly how things played out in 1997, 2000, 2001, and 2005. Each and every one of those instances marked exact or near-term lows from which silver prices either quickly shot higher, or began an extended rally.