GOLD

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B_B
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bennie, op 14 juli 2014 om 00:44 uur

Volgende week:
- Geen herstel voor Small-Caps

www.investing.com/indices/smallcap-2000




De bond market gelooft niet in economisch herstel en "vertrouwt" de FED niet.
De U.S.10-Year Yield weer onder de 2,50 deze week.

www.investing.com/rates-bonds/u.s.-10...
B_B
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B_B
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bennie, op 14 juli 2014 om 00:44 uur
Volgende week:
- Geen herstel voor Small-Caps (> -4%).
- Grondoffensief in Gaza, als de eerste Israëlische doden vallen.
B_B
0
quote:

B_B schreef op 1 juli 2014 15:55:




Binnenkort stijging van 100 dollar in 1 dag.


Soon, very soon!
synoname
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The gold price could go south to 1250 region before end of July because of 2 reasons:

1. The commercials have huge short positions and want to collect gold at low prices.
2. There is much money in the market around 1250 from the non-commercials and amateur traders.

Forget the news. The Market Managers (commercials) sometimes use the news but only drive the gold price to levels where the money is 'waiting for them'. And the money is where the amateurs enter(ed) the markets massively.

First there is the move in gold price. Then the talking heads attach the news to that gold price move.

Trading is a game of cat and mouse.
Between the winning pros and the losing amateurs.

[verwijderd]
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Keek op de week voor goud (en zilver).
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha: GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead?

Summary

* What world news events moved gold this past week?
* Can we expect any correlations between gold and these world news events?
* Upcoming week's expectations.

seekingalpha.com/article/2324795-gld-...

B_B
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Gold off the lows after U.S. CPI data
Jul 22, 2014 12:44PM GMT

Investing.com - Gold futures trimmed losses on Tuesday, after data showed that consumer price inflation in the U.S. rose broadly in line with market expectations in June, while prices excluding food and energy costs trailed forecasts.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for August delivery fell to a session low of $1,302.60 a troy ounce, the weakest level since July 18, before trimming losses to last trade at $1,310.50 during U.S. morning hours , down 0.26%, or $3.40.
.....
www.investing.com/news/commodities-ne...
B_B
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Gold Investors Take Note That An Industry Report Shows Gold Production Dropping Precipitously
Jul. 27, 2014 7:37 AM ET

Summary
- Discoveries of gold resources and reserves have been falling and are not keeping up with gold production.
- The trend of falling gold discoveries has accelerated over the last decade.
- The time it takes to bring a discovery to production has increased substantially to close to twenty years.
- Gold investors should ignore the economic noise and concentrate on gold's fundamental supply picture.

A recent report issued by SNL Metals & Mining (subscription required), one of the leading suppliers of statistical data in the mining sector, is one of the most important gold research reports in years. The report, titled "Strategies for Gold Reserves Replacement", focuses on gold reserve and resource data, and what it shows is that the picture for the future looks very grim for the gold mining industry.

This is something in stark opposition to the strategists at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) that predict a much lower gold price by the end of the year. Thus it offers investors an opportunity to take a contrarian approach to some of the most prominent Wall Street banks, which we believe will be very profitable as we think their position on gold is dead-wrong.

This data is something crucial for all serious investors who own physical gold, the gold ETFs (SPDR Gold Shares GLD, PHYS, and CEF), and the gold miners because the future supply picture of gold affects the future of all of these assets (albeit in different ways).

The Future of Gold Resources and Reserves

Lawrence Williams of Mineweb (and one of our favorite gold analysts) gives an excellent summary of the report as he writes:

The report points out that over the past 24 years mining companies have discovered some 1.66 billion ounces of gold in 217 major discoveries, BUT - and it's a big BUT - while this may sound a huge amount, over the same period the industry has actually produced 1.84 billion ounces of gold, so discoveries have not been keeping pace with production. But the report goes much further in showing that the number of significant discoveries (defined as deposits with a minimum of 2 million ounces of contained gold) is diminishing and this diminishing trend seems to be accelerating. In the 1990s some 124 deposits containing 1.1 billion ounces of gold were discovered while since the year 2000 this has fallen to only 605 million ounces in 93 such discovered deposits. And most recently significant new discoveries appear to have slowed to a trickle.

That means that the mining industry's discovery of 1.66 billion ounces over the last 24 years has not replaced the 1.84 billion ounces that has been produced. Thus almost 200 million ounces of reserves have been lost over the last few decades that have not been replaced DESPITE a gold price that has risen over 400% since 2000! That is certainly not sustainable and shows that the industry has some major issues to overcome when it comes to gold discovery.

Investors should clearly see that not only have gold reserves not been replaced, but in recent years the trend has accelerated as gold discoveries have plummeted to only a few million ounces. That's only the beginning of the depressing picture when it comes to gold discoveries because as Mr. Williams emphasizes:

Assuming a 75% rate for converting resources to economic reserves and a 90% recovery rate during ore processing, the 674 million ounces of gold discovered since 1999 could eventually replace just 50% of the gold produced during the same period.

A 50% replacement rate eventually leads to a 50% drop in production if nothing changes - all of this occurring as gold has risen 14 out of the last 15 years. Can investors imagine what would happen to the gold price if production halved from around 2800 tonnes to 1400 tonnes? That would mean we would need investors to sell 1400 tonnes of extra gold EVERY YEAR to simply maintain the supply and demand fundamentals of the industry. A truly unrealistic event considering the largest gold ETF has only around 800 tonnes of gold - where would the other tonnes come from? Investors should expect that if gold production drops 50% that the price of gold would be more than double the current price (i.e. $2500 to $3000 per ounce).

The report goes on to note that not only have discoveries diminished, but also the length to bring those discoveries to production has also increased to close to 20 years from the date of discovery to production. That means that even if there is a turnaround in discoveries, it would still take close to two decades for these ounces to be produced and added to world supply - so investors shouldn't expect a sudden large discovery or two to have any effect on near-term production.
.....
seekingalpha.com/article/2345715-gold...
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0
Keek op de week voor goud.
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha: GLD: Whipsaw Not Likely Over.

Summary

Market whipsaw likely to continue.
The lows in the metals are not clearly in place.
Upcoming week's expectation.

seekingalpha.com/article/2345685-gld-...
B_B
0
Comex option expiration on Monday the 28th

Een stijging vandaag is zeer positief voor het sentiment.
B_B
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B_B 23 jul 2014 om 00:21
quote:
________________________________________
B_B schreef op 27 feb 2014 om 01:50:

Aan het einde van elke maand proberen "ze" de goudprijs te onderdrukken om fysieke levering van goud door investeerders te ontmoedigen.
_______________________________________

Not this month!
Goud gaat omhoog vliegen.



B_B schreef op 1 jul 2014 om 15:55:

Binnenkort stijging van 100 dollar in 1 dag.



July 28, 2014
Embry: The Shocking Reason Why Gold May Quickly Hit $2,000
.....
“I thought it was very instructive what happened on Friday. On Friday the bullion banks attempted to drive the price of both gold and silver lower and they shot straight back up against them. They were pushing prices lower so the call options would expire worthless. They’ve been ripping the public off for years doing this.

But last Friday the normal script did not apply because both metals turned around and took off to the upside. I consider that action extremely bullish and I think that’s indicative of what’s coming down the pipe. So I was very impressed by Friday’s price action in the metals.
.....
I have said for some time that gold might reach as high as $2,000 this year. That sounds extreme now with gold near the $1,300 level, but when gold starts to move it will move very violently to the upside. And If the bullion banks lose control of the market, I could see $100 upside days coming.
.....
kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_D...
B_B
0
bennie, op 29 juli 2014 om 09:33 uur
________________________________________
Op 11-04-'14 om 00:49 uur schreef bennie:
EBOLA wordt over een paar weken onbeheersbaar.
WHO houdt te weinig rekening met 2 feiten:
- verbeterde infrastructuur
- onverantwoord gedrag van de bevolking
________________________________________


CDC en WHO pakken EBOLA verkeerd aan.
EBOLA is zeer besmettelijk en (bijna) altijd dodelijk.
I.p.v. mensen gerust te stellen en geen paniek te zaaien, moeten ze juist de mensen heel bang maken.
Zo bang dat mensen zelfs hun geliefden mijden als ze ziek zijn.

Nu is het te laat.
[verwijderd]
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Keek op de lange termijn voor goud.
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha; Special Edition On Gold: What Are Long-Term Investors To Do?

Summary

The long-term market looks bullish.
What are some of the fundamentals indications for that long-term perspective?
What should long-term investors do at this time?

NB: Zie tevens enkele interessante artikelen via doorlink te benaderen.
B_B
0
quote:

pmsbutternutter schreef op 31 juli 2014 16:17:


Waarom gaat goud zo naar beneden??


Door stijging Dollar.
Als de Amerikaanse beurzen verder dalen, gaat de Dollar mee omlaag en gaat de goudprijs herstellen.
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