win some... schreef op 1 december 2021 11:43:
Ik roep even de conference call van 8 november (dik 3 weken geleden) in herinnering:
David Kerstens – Jefferies:
[...] First of all, you highlighted the parcels’ volume growth of 19% versus 3Q2019. I think your largest competitor in the Netherlands recently called 78% growth over the same period. What was driving that big difference in volume momentum? Is it due to the launch of Amazon in March 2020? Or were you impacted by capacity constraints? And now with the small parcel sorting centre open, do you expect to regain some of that share?
Herna Verhagen – CEO PostNL: The are a few ways to explain the parcel volume growth in comparison to DHL. When we presented our Capital Markets Day in 2019 with the increases in tariffs which we announced at that moment in time, we saw an effect from that that we expected. That effect was a small shift in market share between us and our competitors. That is also what we presented in the first quarter 2020. As of that moment in time, we do not see shifts in market share between us and the others.
David Kerstens – Jefferies: So I understand you indicated that recently the market shares have been more stable, so that shift mainly took place during the second half of 2019 and the first quarter of 2020?
Herna Verhagen – CEO PostNL: Correct.
Wanneer nu zou blijken dat DHL wel fors marktaandeel heeft gewonnen, dan leidt dat tot 2 mogelijke conclusies:
1) HV weet niet wat er in de markt gebeurt en is dus niet 'in control'
2) HV heeft bewust gelogen
Vooralsnog ga ik ervan uit dat er niet veel is veranderd in het marktaandeel van Postnl. Mocht dit wel het geval zijn dan zou dit genoeg reden zijn om ook afscheid te nemen van HV.