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OCI - 2021

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BultiesBrothers
0
Want hoe je het went of keert, de koers is een lachertje. We staan 4% hoger dan na Q2 cijfers.
BultiesBrothers
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quote:

abbl schreef op 5 november 2021 11:02:

Ik verwacht in loop van de middag toch up naar 24,50. En maandag door naar 26 euro.
Hoop dat je gelijk gaat krijgen
BultiesBrothers
0
De sector is in een halve maand wel flink gecorrigeerd. Begin van de maand was het nog hosanna en nu zijn we weer terug bij af. Prijzen daarentegen is het nogsteeds hosanna, als je iig je fabriek open kan houden
Just lucky
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Elke mini opleving wordt verkocht, misschien zijn het wel al die nazaten van wijlen Sawiris. Die willen geen aandelen, maar die willen leven als een playboy en volop feesten, en dat kost geld.
Stork 49
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quote:

de schaatser schreef op 5 november 2021 09:42:

[...]

Leg eens uit?

je moet een schaap niet scheren voor het wol heeft. of zo
marcobol
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quote:

Kruimeldief schreef op 5 november 2021 13:47:

Ergens te zien, wat de open interest-posities van november zijn?

beurs.fd.nl/derivaten/opties/?call=AE...

Stork 49
0
quote:

BultiesBrothers schreef op 5 november 2021 13:47:

Want hoe je het went of keert, de koers is een lachertje. We staan 4% hoger dan na Q2 cijfers.
het wendt nooit
de schaatser
0
quote:

Just lucky schreef op 5 november 2021 13:31:

[...]Wat echt ongelooflijk is, is dat de koers maar blijft dalen.
Vita Vita een goed onderbouwd artikel van de WEB. Ik ben toevallig ook lid van die club.
BultiesBrothers
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Profercy
@Profercy
Urea - India has come back to the market quickly with IPL to hold a new purchasing tender 11 Nov for shipments to end-Dec. This comes less than 5 days after RCF booked just 465kt.

Bids from traders and manufacturers invited. This is unwelcome news for buyers in other markets.
9:01 AM · Nov 5, 2021·Twitter Web App
Just lucky
0
quote:

BultiesBrothers schreef op 5 november 2021 15:41:

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Profercy
@Profercy
Urea - India has come back to the market quickly with IPL to hold a new purchasing tender 11 Nov for shipments to end-Dec. This comes less than 5 days after RCF booked just 465kt.

Bids from traders and manufacturers invited. This is unwelcome news for buyers in other markets.
9:01 AM · Nov 5, 2021·Twitter Web App
Zeker slecht nieuws voor OCI; nog hogere winsten....., koers zal wel dalen.
BultiesBrothers
0
November 5, 2021
9:42 AM CET
Last Updated 7 hours ago
China
S.Korean drivers panic buy urea after China tightens supply
By Sangmi Cha and Heekyong Yang

3 minute read
Trucks wait in a line to get urea at a service area in Pyeongtaek, South Korea, November 4, 2021. Yonhap via REUTERS
Trucks wait in a line to get urea at a service area in Pyeongtaek, South Korea, November 4, 2021. Yonhap via REUTERS

SEOUL, Nov 5 (Reuters) - South Korean drivers are panic buying urea, an additive used in diesel vehicles to reduce emissions, after China tightened exports, prompting the president's office to set up a taskforce on Friday to negotiate supplies from producer states like China.

Diesel cars represent 40% of registered motor vehicles in South Korea as of August, government data showed, after South Korea in 2015 made it mandatory for diesel cars to use urea solutions to control emissions.

South Korea is heavily reliant on China for urea. About 97% of imports came from China between January and September, according to the trade ministry, up about 8% from a year ago.

China's customs announcement last month of inspection certificates to ship fertiliser and related materials like urea, a type of nitrogen mainly used as a fertiliser in agriculture, was considered a de facto ban on exports to assure supplies in its domestic market.

China's Zhengzhou urea futures fall on export inspections after hitting record highs
China's Zhengzhou urea futures fall on export inspections after hitting record highs
Prices of industrial urea in South Korea jumped more than 80% to $483 per tonnes in September from October 2020, said the trade ministry.

A barrel of urea solution that used to cost 10,000 won ($8.45) per 10 litre was now traded at as much as 120,000 won on online second-hand markets, local media reports said.

Desperate South Korean drivers looking for urea solutions, also known as diesel exhaust fluid, were sharing locations of gas stations that still had inventory, while those who had stocked up ahead were selling at steep markups.

Local broadcasters featured gas stations that put up signs that read "Urea solution SOLD OUT".

“I cannot move out my SUV... picnics can be cancelled, it's okay. But what if container trucks, fire engines, ambulances have to stop?” a diesel trader told Reuters.

“For my SUV, I can fill 15-20 litres of additive in one shot and can run 3,000-5,000 kilometres. But heavy duty vehicles consume more,” he said, adding this could mean a bigger problem in the heavy trucking sector. “It could decrease diesel consumption nationwide, if the situation goes worse.”

South Korea's presidential office on Friday set up a taskforce to ensure adequate supply of urea and initiate diplomatic consultation with producer countries like China, Park Soo-hyun, the presidential press secretary said in a statement.

Diversifying supply will not be easy as South Korea has become far too dependent on China, an official at a major South Korean urea suppliers told Reuters.

"We have signed contracts with Russia in October and it is only going to arrive in January. Yet again they are only about 10% of what we used to get from China," the official said. Inventory is likely to be depleted after November, he added.

($1 = 1,184.0900 won)

Reporting by Sangmi Cha, Heekyong Yang; Additional reporting by Samanta Koustav in Singapore and Emily Chow in Shanghai; Editing by Michael Perry and Toby Chopra
BultiesBrothers
0
Constatering:

Sinds 1 oktober.
Loopt OCI het zwaarst achter op haar sectoren genoten.
CF: -2,6%
Mosaic: -1.93%
Nutrien: -0.45%
Yara: +7.16%
OCI: -6.29%

De reden mag u zelf verzinnen, ik kan er niet op komen
Just lucky
1
quote:

BultiesBrothers schreef op 5 november 2021 16:40:

Constatering:

Sinds 1 oktober.
Loopt OCI het zwaarst achter op haar sectoren genoten.
CF: -2,6%
Mosaic: -1.93%
Nutrien: -0.45%
Yara: +7.16%
OCI: -6.29%

De reden mag u zelf verzinnen, ik kan er niet op komen
Ik hou vanaf nu ook mijn mond maar, begin te lijken op een grammofoonplaat....
Ruval
0
quote:

BultiesBrothers schreef op 5 november 2021 16:40:

Constatering:

Sinds 1 oktober.
Loopt OCI het zwaarst achter op haar sectoren genoten.
CF: -2,6%
Mosaic: -1.93%
Nutrien: -0.45%
Yara: +7.16%
OCI: -6.29%

De reden mag u zelf verzinnen, ik kan er niet op komen
De koers is in ieder geval niet opgelopen in de verwachting van goede Q3 cijfers….

Maandag kunnen er twee dingen gebeuren:

1. Koers doet nagenoeg niets: dit betekent dat alle fantastische cijfers en vooruitzichten al verdisconteerd zitten in huidige koers en de markt OCI inschaalt op € 24

2. Koers explosie want cijfers zijn positieve verrassing. Typisch gevalletje ‘eerst zien dan geloven’.

Ik ben erg benieuwd. Uiteindelijk wordt de koers van een aandeel bepaald door vraag en aanbod, dus als er beleggers op deze koers uit willen, dan blijft het malaise. Maar uiteindelijk krijgt een bedrijf toch een faire waardering zou je verwachten en komt het onderliggende potentieel tot uiting in de koers.

Fingers crossed en hopelijk worden de volhouders beloond….
Dubbeldip
0
quote:

BultiesBrothers schreef op 5 november 2021 16:40:

Constatering:

Sinds 1 oktober.
Loopt OCI het zwaarst achter op haar sectoren genoten.
CF: -2,6%
Mosaic: -1.93%
Nutrien: -0.45%
Yara: +7.16%
OCI: -6.29%

De reden mag u zelf verzinnen, ik kan er niet op komen
Vanaf maandag:

CF -2%
Mosiac -1,22%
Nutrien + 0.51%
Yara + 8.26%
OCI + 6.50%........

Hoop ik....
[verwijderd]
0
EWS
CF Earnings Miss, But Fertilizer Outlook Is Strong; NTR, CF Stock In Buy Range
FacebookTwitterLinkedInShare Licensing
JED GRAHAM04:23 PM ET 11/04/2021
CF Industries (CF) is the latest hot fertilizer stock to miss earnings estimates amid production issues in Q3. However, CF issued a strong outlook for Q4 and beyond. CF stock rose slightly, closing well off highs.

After Mosaic (MOS) and Intrepid Potash (IPI), that makes three misses and one beat: Nutrien (NTR) exceeded analyst earnings estimates and substantially hiked full-year guidance. NTR stock is near an entry point after a bullish bounce.

Fertilizers are yet another commodity whose prices have soared amid tight supplies. Beijing's restrictions on Chinese exports of phosphates and urea are partly to blame. Shutdowns of capacity due to Hurricane Ida and high natural gas prices in Europe also are a big factor.

"We expect positive nitrogen industry fundamentals will persist at least into 2023, underpinned by the need to replenish global grains stocks and by rising economic activity," CEO Tony Will of CF Industries said in a statement.

CF Stock
CF's Q3 EPS swung to a profit of 96 cents, a penny below estimates. Revenue also came up a bit short, despite rising 61% to $1.36 billion.

CF Industries shut down all production at its Donaldsonville, La., complex ahead of the hurricane and announced the restart of operations had begun on Sept. 9. The company also halted operations at two U.K.-based facilities due to high natural gas prices, later restarting one of them.

CF's guidance for production of approximately 9 million tons of ammonia in 2021 implies output of 3.1 million tons in Q4, up from 2.2 million in Q3.

CF also said its board authorized a $1.5 billion share buyback program that will run through 2024.

CF stock rose 0.6% to 58.48 in Thursday stock market action, but well off intraday highs of 60.83. CF stock broke above a 57.29 buy point from a 19-week cup base on Oct. 1. Late last week, CF stock slipped back below the buy point, but regained that entry on Wednesday, rising 3% to 58.11. The top of its buy range is 60.15, according to MarketSmith chart analysis.
Just lucky
0
Iedereen wacht natuurlijk in spanning op maandagmorgen 8.00. Denk dat iedereen hier op het forum wel super resultaten verwacht. Ik verwacht een ebitda van iets meer dan 600 mln (Q2 535) en een winst van 150 mln. (Q2 121) Wat zijn jullie verwachtingen?
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Vertraagd 15 mei 2024 17:39
Koers 25,680
Verschil +0,050 (+0,20%)
Hoog 26,160
Laag 25,450
Volume 480.420
Volume gemiddeld 362.236
Volume gisteren 906.253

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