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Cisco Systems neemt NDS over

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Chiddix
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Tja, dat is een verrassing. Voor 3,8 miljard euro. Er is hier wel eens een discussie gevoerd of een Amerikaans bedrijf, OpenTV zou kunnen inlijven.
Gebeurde niet helaas.
Nu wordt NDS ingelijfd , de concurrent van OpenTV wat middleware aangaat.
Er is natuurlijk wel wat voor te zeggen dat men een compleet bedrijf(smartcard,middleware etc) in de digitale sector wil inlijven.
Kudelski Group is ook z on bedrijf. De smartcard is de cashcow. Kudelski kan natuurlijk ook overgenomen worden door een gigant. Kan! niet zeker natuurlijk.
Chiddix
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De koers van Kudelski ging een procent of 4 a 5 omhoog vanmiddag en noteert nu 7,22 Zwfr. Geen grote stijging dus op dat nieuws over NDS maar het steeg wel.
Chiddix
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Enkele jaren geleden werd er gedacht dat Oracle , OpenTV zou willen overnemen. Het gebeurde niet.
Grote bedrijven slaan pas toe als men een bedrijf vindt dat een mooie winst maakt en reorganisaties achter de rug heeft.
Een bedrijf als TT is nu niet aantrekkelijk omdat de omzet in zijn achteruit staat.
Kudelski Group heeft zijn zaakjes nog niet op orde. Wanneer dat wel het geval is, is een overname niet uit te sluiten.
Bij bedrijven als NDS en Kudelski Group ligt de grote waarde in de smartcard. Middleware is geen vetpot maar er is geld mee te verdienen.
OpenTV liet dat zien in 2008.
Als zelfstandige entiteit was OpenTV niet aantrekkelijk genoeg voor partijen buiten de Kudelski Group.
Men koopt liever een uitgebalanceerd bedrijf als NDS, die alles in huis heeft , om digitale tv aan te bieden.

Middleware is onmisbaar in settop-boxen maar geen cashcow gebleken. Daarom zocht OpenTV naar toegevoegde waarden als games en advertising.
Tot 2009 leverde dat weinig op.
Er zijn gewoon verkeerde keuzes gemaakt, al in de beginjaren 2000. Men dacht dat het wat zou worden maar de inkomsten waren marginaal.
Bij OpenTV stonden ook teveel aandelen uit namelijk 140 miljoen. Dat is teveel voor een bedrijf dat $100-$120 miljoen omzet maakte in 2008/2009.
De winst was in 2008 iets meer dan $10 miljoen en dat is geen hoogvlieger.
Als men zelfstandig was gebleven, was dit nog wel wat hoger geworden maar de risico s waren er ook vanwege de concurrentie.
Veel bedrijven waaronder Google zijn ook de TV markt betreden maar willen alles zelf ontwikkelen.
OpenTV was de pionier van interactieve tv maar tussen 2000 en 2006 , kwam het niet echt van de grond behoudens enkele toepassingen als de videorecorder,films bestellen, games zie UPC, wat advertising en nieuws/weer en verkeer.
Google stort zich nu op interactieve tv en wil de kijker wat meer bieden.
Je zit dan wel met een toetsenbord op je schoot , om het een en ander op te zoeken.
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Chiddix het wordt tijd dat je met de meeste spoed je aandelen KUDELSKI VERKOOPT !!!
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quote:

Chiddix schreef op 15 maart 2012 15:39:

De koers van Kudelski ging een procent of 4 a 5 omhoog vanmiddag en noteert nu 7,22 Zwfr. Geen grote stijging dus op dat nieuws over NDS maar het steeg wel.
De toekomst van kUD ziet er nu heel slecht uit
NDS in handen van CISCO betekent dat KUD naar de filistijnen gaat
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Cisco-NDS merger will enable move to capture emerging markets, say chiefs
March 16, 2012

Cisco’s acquisition of NDS will enable it to achieve greater penetration into emerging and international markets, and is in line with a move towards open
standards-based and software-based solutions for video service providers, and a move towards mobile broadband according to Cisco chairman and CEO John Chambers and NDS executive chairman Abe Peled.
Cisco is to acquire NDS for approximately US$5 billion (!3.8 billion), including the assumption of debt and retention-based incentives. The US technology company said that the acquisition of the News Corp- backed interactive TV and conditional access company would accelerate the delivery of its Videoscape platform for video service providers.
The acquisition is expected to close during the second half of 2012, subject to regulatory review in the US and elsewhere.
Cisco said the acquisition is generally in line with the EBITDA multiples paid when NDS was taken private by News Corp and private-equity group Permira in 2009, and is within the multiples ranges for comparable deals.
Speaking at a press presentation on the deal, Peled said there was not a large overlap between Cisco and NDS. Peled said that NDS was particularly strong in Latin America, India China and other emerging markets. In those markets, LTE and mobile will be used to deliver broadband and in this area in particular the tie-up with Cisco will deliver benefits, he said, citing the example of India’s Bharti Airtel as a company where the pair could play a complementary role. “In some cases in these countries the transition to next generation broadband will happen a lot faster and...Cisco’s strength will play well in offering people like Bharti Airtel a partner that can give them the solution end-to-end and a road map for the way forward.”
www.digitaltveurope.net/22095/cisco-n... Pagina 2 van 8
Cisco-NDS merger will enable move to capture emerging markets, say chiefs » Digital TV Europe 01-04-12 14:17
Peled said there was a great fit between the Videoscape back-end infrastructure and NDS’s client software. Growth of internet-based video was just at the beginning of its growth curve and all pay TV operators were looking to deliver services.
Cisco’s Chambers said the acquisition will change Cisco’s position in video and move the company more into the software space. “The service provide market is in a rapid transition,” he said, “NDS has been very effective in capturing market transitions.” He said NDS’s business model was very close to what Cisco was trying to do as a company and described the deal as possibly the best strategic acquisition Cisco had yet made: “It doesn’t get much more strategic than this.” He said NDS benefited from recurring revenues and strong ongoing customer relationships, which was something Cisco aspired to.
Peled said that about half of NDS’s revenues were recurring, based on service contracts, while other customers often started by buying smartcards and then bought into the company’s other products, which then became recurring revenues. “It’s a very large percentage and it’s aligned with how our customers grow their own business,” he said. This meant that the company had good visibility to revenues going forward, he said.
Chambers said its service provider video group (formerly Scientific Atlanta) was still growing strongly. “This just really means we are accelerating that,” he said. “We will continue to have growth in our traditional business, but any set-top player can play in this new open architecture. This is the open approach and we’ll just add value on top of it, but it will migrate with things like we do with our BNI acquisition,” he said, referring to the acquisition of CDN specialist BNI Video last year. He said the former Scientific Atlanta team understood the direction the company was taking with the NDS merger. Differentiation in the future would be through software and the cloud, based on open standards, rather than in proprietary hardware solutions, he said. He said it would be a mistake for Cisco to focus on “being in the device business”.
Martin de Beer senior vice-president, video and collaboration group, Cisco, said that NDS would remain set-top agnostic and that the combined company would make sure its platform remained open and standards-based.
De Beer said the markets the pair were involved with were complementary. “The way NDS goes to market with an integration approach...got us really excited,” he said. While Cisco brings end-to-end video distribution systems, with strength in developed countries, NDS provides recurring revenue streams and strength in emerging markets, said De Beer. He said the merger gave Cisco a “market-leading portfolio” that “addresses the entire customer base”.
Prior to the close, Cisco and NDS will continue to operate as separate companies. Upon completion of the transaction, NDS’s global operations, including sites in the United Kingdom, Israel, France, India and China, and its approximately 5,000 employees will join the Cisco service provider video technology group (SPVTG), led by senior vice-president and general manager Jesper Andersen. Peled will become senior vice-president and chief strategist for Cisco’s video and collaboration group, of which SPVTG is a part, reporting to De Beer.
Chambers said he did not believe there would be any significant hurdles to securing regulatory approval for the acquisition.
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KUDELSKI GAAT ER HELEMAAL AAN is mijn mening nu

CISCO is mega kapitaalkrachtig en zal KUD uit de markt gaan drukken hoe dan ook
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Feeding on the rotting corpse of a 7 year old failed IPTV strategy

Published: Thursday 22 March, 2012

There were two ideas occupying the minds of all the attendees of this week’s IP&TV World Forum, one very public, and the other they all thought was their own personal secret. The first is what to tell their boards about the move by Cisco to enter the market space, by paying $5 billion to take over the $1 billion revenue NDS, the Israeli/UK based conditional access company which has a special relationship with News Corp.

But it was the second thought that is perhaps the more significant, as the IPTV community once again ponders a future without an omnipresent leading force, as Microsoft Mediaroom virtually self-destructs. To most people this is a fact, but not an announced fact, and each player believes that he or she is the only person who is aware of it, but everything that was announced at the show, even the Cisco NDS deal, were focused on this truth.

Mediaroom came on the scene in blaze of glory and contract signings in 2004/5, and yet it did not deliver a single line of code to anyone which worked, much before 2007. The system was a promise, and with it, Microsoft soaked up all of the available tier 1 equipment revenue, denying many IPTV players much needed design wins. The market has, as a result of this, consolidated, with Motorola picking off at least 7 companies in the sector, including recently middleware player Dreampark, VoD server maker BitBand, DRM supplier SecureMedia, along with older deals for two encoder makers in Tut Systems and Modulus, another VoD server supplier in Broadbus, IPTV set top maker Kreatel. In fact Motorola has bought far more companies than this in the sector, but we’re not entirely sure that the product lines still exist.

Other IPTV players have been biding their time, changing direction slightly, and some have been acquired by a major operator parent, or are living off scant tier 2 deals. Survivors at the show included many who were in the new wave of IPTV conditional access back in 2004, such as Verimatrix, as well as middleware specialists like Orca, touting this week its final acceptance by its parent’s parent (it is now owned by Viaccess, which is turn is owned by France Telecom) of the middleware that it has been pushing since 2004.

We remember meeting then CEO, Haggai Barel at the 2005 IBC, and he had a very sour face, and he confided that Microsoft had ruined the market. We saw Barel wandering around the show this week too, but he, like many were enervated, as were numerous players, by the OTT slant that their products have now all adapted to. New player Comigo came out with an entire new OTT UI paradigm, and while the NDS stand had very few potential customers surrounding it, it had plenty of well-wishers and hangers on - curious visitors who merely wanted to know what Cisco had planned for it.

The answer is simple and it is down to the single elephant in the room, the idea that Mediaroom is failing and the fact that someone needs to take up its crown – Cisco clearly believes that it is ready to do this. But more to the point, it is frightened that one of its rivals will do it if it does not act – Ericsson, Alcatel or worse still Huawei.

So was there a big “closing down” sign at the Microsoft stand? Of course not. But when one person lists the departure of major executives, such as Jim Baldwin, Wallace Colyer and sales leader John Walthall, to name but a few, gone either to the new mysterious Media division of Intel, that has yet to declare its strategy, or the new IPTV major, Ericsson, a company we have lampooned in the past for leading an IPTV standard without any IPTV integrations to its credit, then it all starts to add up.

One major story was the announcement by Ericsson and Verimatrix of the replacement of the Chunghwa system, replacing the original system, cobbled together early in the history of the IPTV movement, with contributions from Israel’s Optibase, Orca, Widevine, and Alcatel, with Acer set tops, all now entirely replaced and replenished with Ericsson network equipment, middleware, VoD servers and encoders and a brand new Verimatrix conditional access system.

It’s not the first Ericsson deal, but it is the first that sits in the same class as those deals that Mediaroom rolled out in the mid-noughties. It is unlikely to be the last and Cisco is concerned that with growing wireline influence in the Far East, Ericsson may begin to eat away at its own core revenues. Ericsson has almost as many acquisitions in its belt as Cisco, and taking the Nortel Switch assets, for example, is one that reaches into the core network areas usually associated with Cisco.

Mediaroom is now beset by an outpouring of senior staff, and we can add to the roster EVP, Andreas Mueller-Shubert, who had already left, and now the entire division reports to the Xbox division, instead of reporting alongside it. One Chief Marketing Officer at the show, in the form of Yann Corqueux, now resident at Netgem, put it very simply, “There is no more BtoB at Microsoft, it has decided that its entertainment strategy will now be BtoC.”

What he means by this is that Microsoft wants to reach out to consumers with an Xbox video service offering and grow its base of 10 million or so Live network subscribers directly, not through operators.

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Corqueux himself is immersed in this new reality, struggling from over-reliance on the SFR IPTV system, and signing new customers like crazy, whether they are require set tops, middleware, cloud search or UI, in an attempt to regain momentum. That makes Netgem a very different company going forwards, but then again many set top makers are diversifying in the same way. Netgem was sitting comfortably prior to SFR going off and chasing the super set top vision – a process which saw it going to multiple device sources to build its Evolution box, which offers a new service type to consumers – it offers OTT hybrid, plays Apps, cloud search and recommendation and social TV – and this is a strong trend being played out among the larger European pay TV operators.

Others at the show pointed out that the Mediaroom roadmap is largely delivered and has had no changes for two years, and others still talk about RFIs (requests for information) from the major Mediaroom players like Deutsche Telekom. One exec who wants to remain unnamed, went as far as saying that Mediaroom has no multiscreen strategy, and without that it means it has given up. It is of course hard for a Microsoft company to embrace iOS and Android tablets now, when they wish that the market would wait a year for Windows 8 tablets.

This leaves us with a peculiar problem for Microsoft. It must support existing customers for many years to come, and it may even try to get them to partner its new Xbox Live OTT entertainment services, although we suspect few of them will do so. Can it sell the division off? Probably not. Can it ever become profitable? Not without killing off all R&D and leaving the company with half the staff.

Mediaroom customers have clear need of guidance and given that 2004/5 is now 7 years away and that this magic number is often used as a reasonable period to write down telecommunications assets, the second generation of IP based entertainment is about to begin. Tier1 Telcos want to refresh their offering, and there is plenty of evidence of that with BT Vision already kicking out Mediaroom (see past issues) and outside of the Mediaroom world this week, Chunghwa and France Telecom launching services based on major new deals with new suppliers and a complete refresh of their lines.

OTT hybrid, smart TVs, apps and tablets are at the heart of all these strategy adjustments, and if a supplier such as Mediaroom, and also the Technicolor France Telecom incumbent, with its SmartVision offering, cannot tick all the new strategy boxes, then they will be swept aside, replaced or forced to take additions from new vendors to wrap around the existing service. The France Telecom owned Orca has now replaced the key SmartVision installation in France, and others are likely to fall, while Mediaroom has perhaps another 20 tier 1 players who now need to come up with a strategy – including AT&T.

No-one is currently saying that Mediaroom services are not bringing in more customers at AT&T, just that no new features are being added and that it will eventually stall and that given that it will take about 4 years to bring new features to market, it had better move now. The entire Microsoft D-Server strategy for rapid channel change in multicasting, which allowed Mediaroom its dramatic entry into IPTV in 2004, is now a major stumbling block for the creation of adaptive streaming OTT services, and the fact that Microsoft would be forced to drive people towards the Apple iPad, instead of towards any of its own, yet to be launched, tablet devices and services, means that it has an intractable problem.

Why would anyone buy Mediaroom? It relies on set tops that run the Windows CE operating system, when set top momentum has been with Linux for years and is heading for Android. It relies on huge banks of HP and IBM servers for VoD and rapid channel change, when the world wants CDN delivered tiered VoD servers. The set top design uses up processing power driving channel change, not front ending a flexible, changing UI, with cloud services like search and recommendation.

It is companies like TiVo, which have been so popular at Virgin Media in the UK, which have shown how to add these services, while maintaining an existing infrastructure. And while TiVo might be the stand out success, the next name on a shopping list for major Telco equipment vendors, NDS is the new game in town in this area. Once totally focused on security, for the past two years NDS has espoused a vision of software layers both within the set top, and beyond it, in a conventional internet arrangement, which has led to its celebrated Snowflake UI and deals at companies like Liberty Global for the hybrid broadcast broadband Horizon set top and TV Everywhere service.

There are problems in this new strategy, in that it has yet to complete that project and bring it successfully to market, and in here lies a worry that it has never really done this before, while companies like TiVo have. At the IP&TV World Forum this week there were at least 7 companies on show that claimed they could do all of that, with existing products out of the box, but in a more flexible manner, with a better tried and tested SDK, and some more original ideas around social TV. But NDS does have the scale and it does have a major international organization and given that Cisco is really battling it out for some relevance in India and China, some way into telcos there that will see it take a fair share against its biggest rivals, it sees having a complete video strategy as something vital to its future.

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If we wanted to get into China we would have bought a Chinese company, and if we had wanted it to make us more money, we would have brought a less project oriented business than NDS, with higher margins. But that’s not the reason Cisco wants it. NDS is the secret sauce that is supposed to bring IPTV deals to Cisco, which will ship the traditional routers and switches and content management components that it already has, behind such deals. And it is there that Cisco wants to make its profit.

And in the rest of the world, Mediaroom customers cannot throw out the Microsoft system, and they are reluctant to negotiate separate deals with point product vendors to fix their service offerings shortfall. If tier 1 players do that, it will get very messy. What they want is a single major player that will fix everything. And regardless of the condition of the Videoscape products at Cisco – immature, incomplete and largely unused - this is the reason that it has acquired NDS, it thinks it can provide this single integration point for the tier one players in the West that it knows so well – both to soak up Mediaroom sales, and to open new doors in the far East and to extend its existing customer services to those who have not yet taken the plunge into IPTV.

The fact that most of NDS customers are DTH not cable or IPTV, and the fact that its recent Snowflake wins are at cable companies, such as Liberty Global in the Netherlands for its Horizon box, should not disguise what’s happening here. NDS is supposed to provide the tools so that Cisco can come to the rescue of Telcos, not DTH or cable vendors, and replace the reliance on Microsoft with a reliance on the NDS-Cisco joint axis. Sure it will take cable customers if it can get them. Its old Scientific Atlanta set top business has equipment offerings for cable, and as we have said many times, down the track it could acquire Motorola Home, which has plenty of such services.

In product terms this whole integration with NDS is barely feasible, but it is feasible - just. NDS has a search and recommendation capability, provided by partners, which doesn’t quite work yet, but will soon. It has a fairly poorly developed UI service layer that needs more flexibility in its SDK and which is largely hard wired, but that can and will be fixed, and Cisco represents the back end of what goes on in the network and since OTT services do not use the access network in a specialized way (the way multicast routers were required and IP DSLAMS in first generation IPTV) the intelligence can slide further back into the network where VoD sessions and linear channels can be delivered as classic IP sessions.

Where is Alcatel in all this? We imagine running, with its tail between its legs to the router side of the market, trying to get operators to forgive it for forcing their investment so heavily in the outer regions of their broadband access networks, instead of in their generalized IP switching. Alcatel cannot pick up the OTT architecture market without explaining away its multicast leanings from the prior generation.

In fact Ericsson, who, as we have said, only began its foothold in IPTV through standards committees, the odd installation and the real time encoder business of Tandberg TV, is really well placed for this. Ericsson also paints a picture of seamless integration between OTT services to portable devices, and through cellular networks, as well as over fixed line architectures. When we spoke to Ericsson execs at the show they were “bigging up” eMBMS and saying that cellular broadcasting will come into its own in the next LTE generation. Ericsson has a big investment in IP routing, and it has a reputation for managing networks for its clients and letting them pay for them as they begin to be successful. But then of course so does Huawei.

Speaking to Stefan Schneiders, Head of Mobile TV solutions, Nokia Siemens Networks, at the show, he confided that the company’s plans were now to chase the mobile broadband rainbow exclusively, and that video at NSN would get about as much investment as it is getting at Microsoft Mediaroom. So despite the fact that it has two major tier 1 networks in Belgacom and KPN as IPTV customers, from its Myrio purchase in 2005, it is virtually in the same boat as Mediaroom. If like Mediaroom it has no service roadmap for those customers, then they too are up for grabs in the OTT era.

So the entire old order in IPTV is being laid to waste and for the smaller players there are three potential outcomes – that Cisco does a great job of absorbing NDS and integrating its products, and reaches in with a pre-planned Mediaroom replacement strategy, and just takes the OTT reins in this market the way Microsoft took the IPTV reins. A result like that could see some of them denied precious lifelines in the future. A second potential outcome is that Cisco does a half decent job, but can only address tier 1 players, and so simply replaces Mediaroom in terms of influence, working side by side with Microsoft to wrap an OTT layer around the existing service, and so leaves tier 2 to remain the staple diet of the remaining IPTV players.

But a third option is looming starkly in everyone’s imagination, that “once bitten, twice shy,” tier 1 operators will reject approaches from another major new player, and Cisco spends 18 months or more integrating the NDS product line, leaving time for the smaller and agile IPTV and OTT eco—system players a chance to feed on the corpse of Mediaroom, teasing out all the meat before Cisco gets its act together. And it’s that opportunity that was lighting up all their eyes at IP&TV World Forum this week, and with good reason.
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Conclusie van dit lange verhaal MSFT is falikant mislukt, NAGRA gaat er nu ook aan,

CISCO wordt nu de marktleider met de overname
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CISCO en NDS is een deal zonder weerga de rest is nu kansloos

DUS CHIDDIX IK WAARSCHUW JE NOG EEN KEER VERKOOP DIE KUD ZOOI ZSM ze zijn kansloos

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met de groeten aan FRED van erikerik.com, hij zal wel blij zijn dat OPENTV naar de kl.... gaat

LOL
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Het heeft lang geduurd maar uiteindelijk heb ik gelijk gekregen,zonde dat al die gasten van erikerik.com dit niet eerder hadden verwacht, eigenlijk mogen ze blij zijn dat optv ingelijfd is door kud,want de koers was nu gezakt tot ver onder de 1 dollar door het verliezen van de grote accounts zoals bekend nu die overname van nds door csco. Ze mogen Andre kudelski wel dankbaar zijn, er is hun veel koersleed bespaard gebleven.

Je baalt alleen wel als je aandelen kUD hebt .......... want dat wordt niets meer dat is nu wel duidelijk geworden.
Chiddix
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De grootste blunder die ik maakte was in 2006, toen Kudelski Group binnenreed bij OpenTV en ik het gevaar niet zo zag. In 2008 gebeurde het dan eindelijk. OpenTV maakte $10 miljoen winst.
Het zag er allemaal goed uit en dat in een kredietcrisis. Beleggers hielden hoop , die ruw werd verstoord in 2009 door de Kudelski Group.
Het overnamebod verraste iedereen omdat het zo laag was.
Kudelski heeft het meesterlijk gespeeld met hun verhaal van investeringen tot $150 miljoen , wat nodig was om mee te kunnen gaan in de ontwikkeling van de nieuwste generatie settop-boxen.
Discovery Group zag het niet meer zitten helaas.
Ik denk dat die hoogte van investeringen gebakken lucht waren, om OpenTV goedkoop in handen te krijgen.

Na 2006 dachten sommigen dat OpenTV zou kunnen worden overgenomen door Oracle of Google.
Die laatste was eigenlijk niet reeel omdat Google de CFO van OpenTV had binnengehaald. De kenner bij uitstek van ITV.

Hoe het gaat met de Kudelski Group weet ik niet. Of men vermorzeld wordt door de nieuwe combinatie Cisco/NDS, is moeilijk te zeggen. Eerder wordt Kudelski Group overgenomen, denk ik.
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KUD wordt niet overgenomen wordt langzamerhand uit de markt gedrukt, lees gaat als een kaars uit, dat is nu al wel duidelijk. Je vergeet steeds dat CSCO een enorme berg met geld achter de hand heeft om allerlei bedrijven te kunnen kopen en te integreren. KUD is van Andre KUDELSKI en kan dus niet worden overgenomen dat is het punt. Op dit moment houden ze net het hoofd boven water en hebben geringe reserves, dus ....
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Als ik je een tip mag geven ruil ze om voor aandelen TIVO

News
Report: TiVo Open to Takeover Bid
By Swanni

Washington, D.C. (February 8, 2012) -- TiVo is open to a takeover bid, writes the research firm SNL Kagan.

In a blog post at its web site, SNL Kagan writes that "a source close to the matter" said the DVR company would consider "solid buyout bids to boost shareholder value, although the current plan is to remain independent."

Almost since its launch nearly 15 years ago, TiVo has been the subject of buyout rumors with companies such as Microsoft, Apple, Amazon and DIRECTV considered possible suitors. But TiVo executives have resisted all offers to date, believing that it can be more successful as an independent company.

However, TiVo could now be at a crossroads with a subscriber base at roughly two million, less than half of the company high of 4.4 million in 2006. The company has worked feverishly to develop partnerships with U.S. TV providers to generate new subs, but thus far, it has been most successful of late in gaining new subs from its partnership with a UK provider, Virgin Media.

Still, TiVo's impressive DVR patent portfolio, which has netted the company hundreds of millions in patent lawsuits, could be an attractive lure.

SNL notes that Barron's recently published a positive profile of the company's financial picture and suggested Microsoft and Google could be interested in a takeover bid.
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Does Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) Still Want to Buy TiVO?
Does Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) Still Want to Buy TiVO?
Posted By Guest Contributor On 04/11/12 @ 12:10 PM In Bourbon & Bayonets | No Comments

The Mac maker was once rumored to be interested in a TiVo takeover. But with rumors of a buyout heating up, it isn’t Apple’s name that continues to come up.

Rather, it is Apple’s chief rival, Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), that is making waves this week with what could be a top-secret plan to take control of the nation’s largest manufacturer of DVRs (digital video recorders).

“Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO), Microsoft most likely to take over TiVo (NASDAQ: TIVO),” an analyst told Benzinga this week. The analyst declined to be named because he was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. “Very likely to happen.”

“Cisco would not buy them because they just bought NDS,” another analyst told Benzinga. This analyst also declined to be named because he was not authorized to speak publicly on the matter. “Rovi (NASDAQ: ROVI) [is the] most likely purchaser.”

Albert Fried & Co. analyst Rich Tullo agrees with that last assessment, telling Benzinga that Microsoft or Rovi are the firms most likely to acquire the DVR maker. “We believe it is likely that the TiVo will be bought out within 24 months, but not before the resolution of the Verizon Wireless (NYSE: VZ) settlement,” Tullo told Benzinga. He added that Microsoft would be attractive because it would give the Windows maker more merchandise to sell in its upcoming stores. Further, the technology could be added to the Xbox 360 game console, which is rumored to receive a minor upgrade in the next 12 to 18 months, followed by a more substantial hardware release in 2014.

Rumors of a TiVo buyout go back as far as 2005. At that time, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) was thought to be interested in acquiring the DVR maker. The Mac Observer [1] reported on the matter, quoting an analyst (Steven Kroll Jr. of Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co.) who told Reuters, “What we hear on the street is that Apple is interested in their business and that they are a [takeover] target.”

Seven years later, TiVo remains on the market.

More Hyperbole?

Nearly every publicly traded corporation has, at one time or other, found itself on the takeover rumor list. But the TiVo situation is somewhat unique. If the rumors are accurate, only the biggest and best corporations have expressed interest in this acquisition.

In July 2011, Businessweek [2] reported that TiVo looked “like a takeover target,” pointing to Microsoft or Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) as the most likely buyers. Businessweek even quoted an analyst, Maxim Group’s Mark Harding, who said that the company could earn $2.4 billion ($20 a share) on the sale, which was nearly double TiVo’s July 5 closing price of $11.

Nine months and several fluctuations later — including a drop to $7.19 on August 10, 2011 — and the stock is back at $11. While TiVo’s patented technology proved to be a powerful foe in the battle against Dish Network (NASDAQ: DISH), enabling the DVR leader to collect a hefty paycheck [3], that may not be enough to warrant a high takeover price.

The patent payments could keep coming, however. Earlier this year, TiVo received more than $200 million [4] from AT&T (NYSE: T).

Google’s (NASDAQ:GOOG) Sneaky Strategy

The world may never stop speculating about the reasons why Google decided to purchase Motorola (NYSE: MMI). Critics and supporters alike go back to the patent argument, insisting that Google was willing to do whatever it took to win any and all legal battles. More significantly, by strengthening its patent defense, Google has simultaneously strengthened its patent offense, which could one day allow the company to acquire billions of dollars in additional revenue from its competitors.

If Google only wanted Motorola for its patents, then there is no way that the company would ever acquire TiVo unless it plans to turn it into an open-source platform for TV and cable box manufacturers. Similarly, if Google wanted more than patents, then it got what it paid for — Motorola came pre-packaged with plenty of manufacturing options, including cable boxes.

Adding TiVo to the mix could be a tantalizing addition that could sway hardware sales in the company’s favor. But that’s a big “could.”

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) Entertainment

Based on everything we know about what Apple currently manufactures and plans to manufacture in the future [5], it seems that the company has everything it needs. It could certainly benefit from the technology that TiVo has to offer, especially if the company believes that it could help sell a television — or the next version of the Apple TV set-top box.

Aside from that, however, TiVo does not seem to fit into Apple’s current strategy. Then again, TiVo didn’t seem to fit into the company’s strategy seven years ago either.

Xbox Marks the Spot

In 2011, Microsoft poured billions of dollars into its acquisition of Skype. Why? We don’t know yet. The company seemed to have a reason — many of which I outlined last year — but it could be years before Microsoft earns a dime on the purchase.

TiVo would be a lot cheaper and likely lead to profits much sooner. Not because TiVo is such a hot commodity (it’s not), but because the technology is somewhat desirable and could be used to bolster the next Xbox as the ultimate entertainment device. As it stands, the current Xbox can do almost everything consumers want. It is, in essence, the ultimate set-top box. But its roots are in video games, which helped it stand out. Adding TiVo could make the next Xbox even more attractive.



Follow me @LouisBedigian [6]
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Article printed from Oakshire Financial: oakshirefinancial.com

URL to article: oakshirefinancial.com/2012/04/11/does...
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0
ALLES KOMT UIT ZOALS GEZEGD KUD Gaat langzaam uit als een OPBRANDENDE KAARS

Fred van erikerik.com zal wel moeten lachen hierom:

MediaHighway takes over at Sky Italia
March 22, 2012 18.03 Europe/London By Julian Clover
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MediaHighway is replacing OpenTV as the default middleware on Sky Italia set-tops. The NDS technology is being deployed as part of the recent upgrade of the EPG and introduction of enhanced interactive features.
“Sky Italia has taken important steps to ensure a quality experience for its subscribers. With a solid underpinning in MediaHighway set-top box software, and a new and improved user interface, the Sky Italia subscriber experience is leading the Italian market,” said David Nabozny, NDS senior vice president, Major Accounts.
The MediaHighway middleware will be deployed on all new Sky Italia HD digital video recorders (DVRs) and is in the process of being downloaded to more than 1.6 million existing devices.
However, OpenTV will continue to be used on the approximate 3.4 million boxes in the market.
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TIVO is beslist een gokje waard

Reden ze hebben het beste OTT product na NDS's HORIZON dat nu in handen is van CISCO.
TIVO voelt dit ook wel CSCO kan nu een volledig end to end product aanbieden en is een nog veel grotere bedreiging geworden dan het al was voor de overname.
TIVO heeft 7 dollar is cash van de 11 dolar koers en heeft nu een aantal law suits in patenten uitstaan die waarschijnlijk succesvol worden afgesloten.

Kanshebbers om de club over te nemen zijn m.i.ERICSSON EN MSFT

AL MET AL EEN GOKJE WAARD
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