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KK DD 28/7 : Wantrouwen (?)

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"anecdotal information on current economic conditions"

Eens kijken of er in dat Beige Book ook anekdotes uit de KK komen te staan.
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[Modbreak IEX]: Gelieve elkaar niet persoonlijk aan te vallen, bericht is bij dezen verwijderd.]
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Hello.. my name is Ben. Helicopter Ben. My specialty is stimulating the sensitive areas.
voda
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quote:

KonVicT *G* schreef:

waar kan je lezen wat er gezegd is over het beige boek?
ja, er komt later een "PB". Zal het hier plaatsen t.z.t.
voda
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Dollar Declines Against Yen on Unexpected Drop in Orders for Durable Goods
By Catarina Saraiva - Jul 28, 2010 6:50 PM GMT+0200
Wed Jul 28 16:50:20 UTC 2010

The dollar declined from the highest level in almost two weeks versus the yen as orders for U.S. durable goods unexpectedly fell last month.

Australia’s dollar slid against all of its major counterparts as the nation’s consumer prices rose in the second quarter less than economists forecast, raising speculation that the central bank will keep borrowing costs unchanged. The yen advanced against the New Zealand dollar and South African rand as a drop in U.S. stocks discouraged demand for riskier assets.

“We’re seeing a little bit of risk aversion in the market,” said Melinda Burgess, a foreign-exchange strategist at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London. “There’s definitely worry out there about the U.S. recovery. That’s why we’re seeing dollar-yen going lower.”

The dollar decreased 0.3 percent to 87.68 yen at 12:40 p.m. in New York, from 87.90 yesterday, after touching 88.12, the highest level since July 15. The euro slid 0.3 percent to 113.94 yen, from 114.24, after rising to 114.74, the highest level since May 18. The euro traded at $1.2995, compared with $1.2996.

New Zealand’s dollar fell 1 percent to 63.82 yen and South Africa’s rand slid 0.4 percent to 11.95 yen as the drop in orders for durable goods deterred trades in which investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs and buy assets where returns are higher. Japan’s target lending rate of 0.1 percent makes the yen popular for funding such transactions.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.3 percent as the U.S. economic report outweighed better-than-estimated corporate profits. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index slid 0.4 percent.

Durable Goods

Bookings for U.S. items meant to last at least three years fell 1 percent last month after falling 0.8 percent in May, the Commerce Department reported today. The median forecast of 76 economists in a Bloomberg News survey was for a 1 percent gain.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said in testimony before the Senate Banking Committee on July 21 that “the economic outlook remains unusually uncertain.”

The central bank will release today its Beige Book regional survey, which discusses economic conditions as reported by the Fed’s district banks. Last month’s survey showed the U.S. economy strengthened in all 12 regions in April and May, while also noting that growth in many was subdued.

“If you take a look at the data that has come out since the last Beige Book survey, it has all deteriorated,” said Brian Dolan, chief strategist at FOREX.com, a unit of the online currency trading firm Gain Capital in Bedminster, New Jersey. “I don’t think we can get an upbeat Beige Book.”

Stronger Yen

The yen has advanced 9.7 percent this year in the biggest gain among developed-world counterparts, according to Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Currency Indices. The euro has dropped 7.7 percent, while the dollar is up 2.8 percent.

The Bank of Japan board member Hidetoshi Kamezaki highlighted in a speech in Sapporo economic risks of a rising yen and said the bank will act to combat deflation, a more aggressive stance than his colleagues have indicated.

Nissan Motor Co. will boost output capacity in Mexico to about 700,000 vehicles a year and may consider increasing exports from the U.S. as the strong yen makes North American production more competitive.

The yen was headed for a 0.9 percent monthly gain versus the dollar and a 5 percent drop versus the euro. The dollar was poised for a 6 percent decrease against the euro.

The euro may advance about 4 percent against the yen after it breached a resistance level, according to Technical Alpha, a New-York based research company.

Outlook for Euro

The 16-nation euro may rally to a range of 117 to 118.80 yen over the next two months after closing yesterday above 113.85 yen, James Stellakis, the company’s founder, wrote in an e-mailed report. The euro hasn’t traded stronger than 118.80 yen since May 11, according to Bloomberg data.

A resistance level is an area on a chart where orders to sell a currency versus a counterpart may be placed, potentially blocking an advance.

The Australian dollar slid against the dollar and yen after the Bureau of Statistics said consumer prices rose 0.6 percent in the second quarter. The median estimate of 21 economists in a Bloomberg News survey was for a gain of 1 percent.

The Aussie declined 1.1 percent to 89.29 U.S. cents after reaching 90.69 cents yesterday, the highest since May 10. The Australian currency lost 1.3 percent to 78.29 yen.

The Reserve Bank of Australia is forecast to keep the benchmark cash target at 4.5 percent on Aug. 3, according to the median estimate of 19 economists in a Bloomberg News survey.

New Zealand’s central bank will increase its target lending rate by a quarter-percentage point to 3 percent at 9 a.m. in Wellington tomorrow, according to all 14 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. The kiwi surged yesterday to a six-month high of 73.97 U.S. cents as traders bet borrowing costs would keep rising.

To contact the reporter on this story: Catarina Saraiva in New York at asaraiva5@bloomberg.net
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quote:

voda schreef:

[quote=KonVicT *G*]
waar kan je lezen wat er gezegd is over het beige boek?
[/quote]
ja, er komt later een "PB". Zal het hier plaatsen t.z.t.
danku

Kan me namelijk herrinneren dat de vorige keer toen bernankee sprak dat binnen 10 minuten de koersen omlaag gingen. Helaas had dit geen effect op europa en gingen we de volgende dag 3% omhoog.
real life
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damn dat is een lang verhaal zeg. Hou niet zo van lezen. Ik wacht wel op een samenvatting.
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quote:

ShortIsGoodMan schreef:

oeps! ze hebben gelogen! het gaat niet goed dames en heren!
Het zou toch niet waar zijn?!

Maar op CNBC zeiden ze dat alles goed ging komen?!
TraderRon
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morgen komen ook de werkeloosjes weer...
dan overmorgen gdp nog....
zeg al als die gdp niet volgens verwachtingen is wordt het aardige streep down...
Verwacht ook niet dat we het in de aanloop daarheen droog houden....

Maarrrrrr valt het mee dan kan het interessant worden (up dan) knappe jongen die vrijdag rond die cijfers long of short durft te gaan ;-)
Wat doe jij SIGM?
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quote:

KonVicT *G* schreef:

waar kan je lezen wat er gezegd is over het beige boek?
Tip:

Lees het beige book gewoon ipv maar het gezwam van analisten over te nemen zonder dat je een idee hebt waar ze het over hebben.
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quote:

blaaskaak schreef:

[quote=KonVicT *G*]
waar kan je lezen wat er gezegd is over het beige boek?
[/quote]

Tip:

Lees het beige book gewoon ipv maar het gezwam van analisten over te nemen zonder dat je een idee hebt waar ze het over hebben.
aha ik merk wel dat ze erg behulpzaam hier zijn zeg. NOT!!! Is heel moeilijk natuurlijk gewoon antwoord geven.
TraderRon
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quote:

KonVicT *G* schreef:

aha ik merk wel dat ze erg behulpzaam hier zijn zeg. NOT!!! Is heel moeilijk natuurlijk gewoon antwoord geven.
www.google.nl
Stokertje
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Is steeds hetzelfde patroon.

20:15 gaat het bewegen
20:45 staat alles weer op stand 20:15

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quote:

TraderRon schreef:

Maarrrrrr valt het mee dan kan het interessant worden (up dan) knappe jongen die vrijdag rond die cijfers long of short durft te gaan ;-)

Het is erop of eronder.
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